Tag: Volcano

  • Iceland volcano at it again with a third eruption in as many months

    Iceland volcano at it again with a third eruption in as many months


    Grindavik, Iceland — A volcano in southwest Iceland erupted for the third time since December on Thursday, sending jets of lava into the sky and triggering the evacuation of the Blue Lagoon spa, one of the island nation’s biggest tourist attractions. The eruption began at about 1 a.m. Eastern time along a nearly two-mile fissure northeast of Mount Sundhnukur, the Icelandic Meteorological Office said.

    The event is taking place about 2½ miles northeast of Grindavik, a coastal town of 3,800 people that was evacuated before a previous eruption on Dec. 18.

    The Icelandic Meteorological Office said lava was flowing to the west and there was no immediate threat to Grindavik or to a major power plant in the area. Civil defense officials said no one was believed to be in the town at the time of the eruption, Icelandic national broadcaster RUV reported.

    A volcano erupts on Reykjanes Peninsula
    A volcano spews lava and smoke as it erupts on Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland, on Feb. 8, 2024.

    Iceland Civil Protection / Handout via REUTERS


    “They weren’t meant to be, and we don’t know about any,” Víðir Reynisson, the head of Iceland’s Civil Defense, told Icelandic national broadcaster RUV.

    The nearby Blue Lagoon thermal spa was closed when the eruption began and all the guests were safely evacuated, RUV said.

    The Icelandic Met Office warned earlier this week of a possible eruption after monitoring a buildup of subsurface magma for the past three weeks. The amount of magma or semi-molten rock that had accumulated was similar to the amount released during an eruption in January.

    Iceland Volcano
    A view of the volcano erupting, north of Grindavík, Iceland, on Feb. 8, 2024.

    Marco Di Marco/AP


    Hundreds of small earthquakes had been measured in the area since last Friday, capped by a burst of intense seismic activity about a half-hour before the latest eruption began.

    Dramatic video from Iceland’s coast guard shows fountains of lava soaring more than 165 feet into the darkened skies. A plume of vapor rose about 1½ miles above the volcano.

    This is the third eruption since December of a volcanic system on the Reykjanes Peninsula, which is home to Keflavik, Iceland’s main airport. There was no disruption reported to the airport on Thursday.


    Eruption from Iceland volcano could last for months

    01:37

    Iceland, which sits above a volcanic hot spot in the North Atlantic, averages an eruption every four to five years. The most disruptive in recent times was the 2010 eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano, which spewed huge clouds of ash into the atmosphere and led to widespread airspace closures over Europe.

    Grindavik, about 30 miles southwest of Iceland’s capital, Reykjavik, was evacuated in November when the Svartsengi volcanic system awakened after almost 800 years with a series of earthquakes that opened large cracks in the earth between the town and Sylingarfell, a small mountain to the north.

    The volcano eventually erupted on Dec. 18, sending lava flowing away from Grindavik. A second eruption that began on Jan. 14 sent lava towards the town. Defensive walls that had been bolstered since the first eruption stopped some of the flow, but several buildings were consumed by the semi-molten flow.



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  • Photos of Iceland volcano eruption show lava fountains, miles-long crack in Earth south of Grindavik

    Photos of Iceland volcano eruption show lava fountains, miles-long crack in Earth south of Grindavik


    Iceland’s volcanic eruption could last months


    Iceland’s volcano continues to spew lava, and eruption could last months

    01:40

    A volcano in southern Iceland, near Grindavik, began erupting in spectacular fashion Monday night following weeks of warning signs, including thousands of earthquakes.

    Iceland’s Meteorological Office said the eruption opened an approximately 2.5-mile-long fissure and created lava fountains up to 98 feet high.

    Last month, the 3,400 residents of the fishing village of Grindavík, the town nearest the volcano on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula, were evacuated in anticipation of the pending eruption.

    The meteorological office reported Tuesday that the southernmost point of the erupting volcano was about 1.86 miles from the town, and that the eruption’s intensity was weakening. The lava also appeared to be flowing away from Grindavík.

    Here are some of the extraordinary images of the eruption:

    TOPSHOT-ICELAND-VOLCANO-ERUPTION
    The evacuated Icelandic town of Grindavik is seen as smoke billow and lava is thrown into the air from a fissure during a volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula on Dec. 19, 2023. 

    VIKEN KANTARCI/AFP via Getty Images


    Volcano Erupts On Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula
    People view the volcano on the Reykjanes Peninsula on Dec. 19, 2023, in Grindavik, Iceland. 

    Jeff J Mitchell / Getty Images


    Volcano Erupts On Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula
    A nighttime view of the volcano erupting on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland on Dec. 20, 2023.

    Jeff J Mitchell / Getty Images


    Volcano erupts on Iceland's Reykjanes peninsula
    A view of lava after the volcanic eruption northeast of Grindavik, Iceland, on Dec. 19, 2023. 

    ICELAND POLICE DEPARTMENT/Anadolu via Getty Images


    Volcano Erupts On Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula
    Volcanologists from the University of Iceland watch the eruption on Dec. 19, 2023. 

    Getty Images


    Iceland Volcano
    This image from video provided by the Icelandic Coast Guard shows its helicopter flying near magma running on a hill north of Grindavik on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula late on Dec. 18 or early Dec. 19, 2023. 

    Icelandic coast guard via AP


    Iceland Volcano Eruption
    An aerial view of the eruption south of Grindavik on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula, Dec. 19, 2023.

    Marco Di Marco / AP


    Iceland Volcano Photo Gallery
    An aerial view of volcanic activity near Grindavik on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula. Dec. 19, 2023.

    Marco Di Marco / AP


    Volcano Erupts Near Grindavik
    Dec. 18, 2023, north of Grindavik, Iceland.

    Getty Images


    Volcano Erupts Near Grindavik, Iceland
    A volcano spews lava and smoke as it erupts near Grindavik, Iceland, Dec. 18, 2023.

    Snorri Thor/NurPhoto via Getty Images


    ICELAND-VOLCANO-ERUPTION
    The volcanic eruption as seen from the village of Hafnarfjordur, Iceland, on Dec. 18, 2023. 

    OSKAR GRIMUR KRISTJANSSON/AFP via Getty Images


    An aerial view of lava spewing from the site of the volcanic eruption north of Grindavik
    A drone picture shows lava spewing from the site of the volcanic eruption north of Grindavik, photographed from Sylingarfell, Iceland, December 19, 2023.

    Sigurdur Mar Davidsson / REUTERS


    Volcano erupts in the Reykjanes Peninsula
    Smoke rises as a volcano erupts along Route 41 in the Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland December 19, 2023.

    Sigurdur Mar Davidsson / REUTERS


    Drone View Of The Volcano Erupting On Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula
    A drone view of the lava flow from the erupting volcano on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula, with the town of Grindavik and the lights of the famous Blue Lagoon visible in the background, on Dec. 19, 2023. 

    Snorri Thor/NurPhoto via Getty Images


    ICELAND-VOLCANO
    Molten lava erupts from a fissure on the Reykjanes Peninsula in western Iceland on Dec. 19, 2023. 

    KRISTINN MAGNUSSON/AFP via Getty Images


    Maxar closeup infrared satellite imagery of the lava field from the volcanic eruption north of Grindavik, Iceland.
    Maxar closeup infrared satellite imagery of the lava field from the volcanic eruption north of Grindavik, Iceland, Dec. 19, 2020.

    Satellite image (c) 2023 Maxar Technologies via Getty Images


    Iceland Volcano Erupts
    The volcanic eruption turns the sky orange in Grindavik, on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula, Dec. 18, 2023.

    Marco Di Marco / AP


    Map shows location of the volcano erupting in Iceland

    Volcano erupts on Iceland's Reykjanes peninsula

    Yasin Demirci/Anadolu via Getty Images




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  • A volcano on Hawaii’s Big Island is sacred to spiritual practitioners and treasured by astronomers – Times of India

    A volcano on Hawaii’s Big Island is sacred to spiritual practitioners and treasured by astronomers – Times of India



    MAUNA KEA: Shane Palacat-Nelsen’s voice drops to a reverent tone as he tells the story of the snow goddess Poliahu who Native Hawaiians believe inhabits the summit of Mauna Kea, the highest point in Hawaii.
    The tale, repeated in Hawaiian families over generations, speaks of a chief who yearned to court Poliahu but was stopped by her attendants guarding the sacred mountain top – the abode of the gods, cradle of creation and gateway to the divine.
    Today, this sublime summit on Hawaii’s Big Island is also treasured by astronomers as a portal to finding answers to the universe’s many mysteries, creating varied – and sometimes incompatible – views on what’s best for Mauna Kea’s future.
    The legendary chief eventually gained access to the summit on one condition: He was to step only on the same set of footprints left by the attendant escorting him up and down, said Palacat-Nelsen. He says it’s a metaphor for why Mauna Kea must be protected from further human intrusion, pollution, and erosion.
    “You do not go up the sacred mountain unless you are called. You do not go up without a purpose.”
    Mauna Kea is a dormant 14,000-foot shield volcano. In Native Hawaiian lore, it is the first-born son of the sky father and earth mother. The mountain’s dry atmosphere and limited light pollution make for a perfect location to study the skies – one of just a handful on the planet.
    Over the past 50 years, astronomers have mounted a dozen giant telescopes on the summit, with several yielding exalted discoveries, like proving the Milky Way has a supermassive black hole at its center. That particular research led to a Nobel Prize in Physics in 2020.
    The proliferation of observatories has troubled many Native Hawaiians, who have pushed back. In their view, such construction is polluting the sacred mountain top, eroding the environment and depleting natural resources. In 2019, thousands came out to protest a proposed $2.65-billion Thirty Meter Telescope project near the summit. This protest catalyzed the passage of a new state law transferring jurisdiction of the mountain to a new stewardship authority comprising scientists and Native Hawaiian cultural practitioners.
    No side wants to reduce this debate to a culture-versus-science conflict because Hawaiian spirituality embraces science, or studying the physical world, and many astronomers respect Hawaiian culture. Some observatory staff and cultural practitioners are taking small, tentative steps toward new dialogue, but overcoming the cavernous divide will involve difficult conversations and understanding different perspectives.
    Mauna Kea, translated literally as “white mountain,” has the same progenitors – Wakea and Papahanaumoku – as the Hawaiian people, according to stories, prayers and chants. After volcanic eruptions sent lava bubbling up from the ocean floor, it took more than a million years to form, growing into the tallest mountain on Earth when measured from its base in the Pacific Ocean.
    The summit soars 13,796 feet (4,205 meters) above sea level, evoking an ethereal feeling as fluffy clouds swaddle its cinder cones and blanket its reddish, almost Mars-like soil. On a clear day, Mauna Loa, one of the world’s most active volcanoes, is visible.
    Climbing Mauna Kea is like peeling the layers of an onion, says Kealoha Pisciotta, a cultural practitioner and longtime activist. The sacred mountain’s slopes are dotted with ceremonial platforms, ancestral burial sites and Hawaii’s lone alpine lake, whose waters are believed to possess healing properties.
    “The higher you go, the closer your heart is to the heavens,” she says. “(The gods) can see you, feel you, hear you. The protocol is silence because we don’t need to be speaking in akua’s (creator’s) house. We need to be listening.”
    Building and bulldozing on or near the summit threatens the people’s sacred connection to the land, Pisciotta said. In her spiritual practice, she considers the mountain and all aspects of creation such as fish, coral, trees and animals to be like older siblings.
    “When they diminish our ancestors and our elder siblings, they diminish us, our life force and our existence. And that’s the reason people are saying no,” she said, referring to adding more telescopes.
    Palacat-Nelsen, who served on the working group that laid the foundation for the new authority, says to protect the mountain and preserve the summit’s sacredness, people must step out of their silos with open hearts and minds, ready to have uncomfortable conversations.
    John O’Meara, who moved to Hawaii to become the chief scientist at Keck shortly before the 2019 protest, is now a key player in that dialogue. He’s learning about the strong connection many Native Hawaiians have to Mauna Kea.
    O’Meara is fascinated by the similarities between spirituality and astronomy.
    “We are fundamentally asking the same questions, which are: Where are we? Where did we come from? And where are we going? There is a deep connection to the universe…which is the thing that we should be focusing on,” he said.
    Doug Simons, director of the University of Hawaii’s Institute for Astronomy, points to the opening lines of the Kumulipo, a centuries-old Hawaiian creation chant, which describes a scene strikingly similar to what astronomers believe existed during the Big Bang.
    “When fundamental space altered through heat/When the cosmos altered, turning inside out,” begins the chant, according to a translation by Larry Kimura, a Hawaiian language expert. It continues a few lines later: “Then began the slime that established a physical space/The source of impenetrable darkness, so profound/The source of fathomless power, reincarnating itself.”
    The chant continues for 2,000 more lines, detailing the birth of coral, seaweed, fish, trees and, eventually, people.
    The Kumulipo’s description of a dark, eternal form of energy from which everything emerges sounds to Simons like dark energy, which astronomers believe predated the universe. Scientists can observe dark energy, which is causing the universe to expand at an accelerated rate, by studying dark matter – invisible to the naked eye, but detectable through the study of distortions in galaxy shapes.
    Mauna Kea’s telescopes are at the forefront of discoveries about this dark energy thanks to their “exquisite image quality,” Simons said.
    Lanakila Mangauil, a Native Hawaiian spiritual practitioner, was around 9 when he first stepped on the mountain for snow play at the lower elevations. His family never went to the summit.
    “One of the important spiritual practices on Mauna Kea is our absence,” he said. “We stay off it because it is sacred.”
    When he first ascended the mountain for ceremony, he was a high school senior and climbed with two of his friends. They stopped at altars, prayed near the upper cinder cones, offered chants and dance.
    Mangauil does not like to use the word “religion” to describe his spiritual practice. Hawaiians don’t have a central religion, he said, but spiritual practices born of different communities, families and environments.
    “Our spiritual practice is not faith-based, it is knowledge-based,” he said. “Our gods and goddesses are scientific observations.”
    For example, to understand the deities of Mauna Kea is to understand the mountain’s environment and climate, Mangauil said. Poliahu is the snow goddess, sister of Pele, the goddess of volcanoes and denizen of neighboring Mauna Loa. Lilinoe is the goddess of fine mist. Waiau presides over the mountain’s subterranean reservoirs. Lake Waiau, associated with the god Kane, is where some Native Hawaiians bury their children’s umbilical cords. Its water is collected and used for healing and ceremonies. The summer solstice is an important ritual Mangauil observes on Mauna Kea as is a Makahiki ceremony in the fall, which marks the start of the Hawaiian new year.
    This is also a political and cultural issue for younger Hawaiians like Mangauil who considers himself a product of the Hawaiian Renaissance. Prior generations lost their language as well as culture and religious practices after the US-backed overthrow of the monarchy in 1893.
    “We are reestablishing our spiritual relationship with the land, which was disrupted by colonization.”
    Not all Native Hawaiians hold Mauna Kea sacred in a religious sense, including Makana Silva, an astronomer who grew up on Oahu and was raised Catholic. He is now a post-doctoral fellow at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico studying black holes and gravitational waves, and visited Mauna Kea’s summit for the first time three years ago.
    Despite his personal religious beliefs, he is certain that the mountain contains what Hawaiians call “mana” – the spiritual life force that permeates the universe. Silva described a moment when he and his friend stood by Lake Waiau “in peace, silence and awe.”
    He believes astronomy on the mountain should thrive so there is a place for Hawaiians to perpetuate their legacy of innovation.
    “We have a responsibility to future generations to leave behind these new inventions so they can go places you and I have never been able to dream of,” Silva said.
    The future of astronomy on the mountain will in large part be decided by the Mauna Kea Stewardship and Oversight Authority, which is taking over managing the mountain from the University of Hawaii. It will determine whether to renew the university’s 65-year lease for the summit lands, which is due to expire in 2033, and subleases for lands used by all the mountain’s telescopes.
    Simons is concerned about the consequences if the leases aren’t renewed in time. The existing master lease says the telescopes must be dismantled and the land under them restored to their original states by 2033 if the lease is not renewed.
    “The potential loss of Mauna Kea astronomy…would be catastrophic,” Simons said, adding that this would mean a tremendous loss of knowledge and opportunities for Hawaii’s budding astronomers.
    Palacat-Nelsen doesn’t believe astronomy on the summit will end any time soon. But he does see the lease being renewed at a much higher price than the $1 a year the University of Hawaii pays now.
    “You have to pay the best price for the best view,” he said.
    He holds out hope for better understanding between the two communities. He recently invited a handful of Keck astronomers and officials to his family’s “heiau” or place of worship on Big Island.
    Rich Matsuda, Keck’s interim director and an engineer, was part of that group. He said the experience shed light on the extensive preparation required to enter a sacred space, such as leaving one’s everyday troubles and anxieties outside, which can be challenging. He has since followed similar protocols when traveling to the summit and believes they could be shared more broadly with other telescope workers.
    Palacat-Nelsen said such efforts by observatories give him hope that people will become more mindful of their footprints on Mauna Kea, like the legendary chief who visited the snow goddess. Palacat-Nelsen is grateful to his ancestors for preserving and maintaining Mauna Kea so current generations have the opportunity to experience the divine. He wonders if he can do that for posterity.
    “Can they speak about me in that way 200 years from now?” he asks. “I hope.”





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  • 11 climbers killed, 12 missing following Indonesian volcano eruption – SUCH TV

    11 climbers killed, 12 missing following Indonesian volcano eruption – SUCH TV



    Eleven climbers have been killed and 12 more are missing after the eruption of Indonesia’s Mount Marapi, local officials have said.

    Seventy-five people were in the area when the volcano in West Sumatra erupted on Sunday, according to authorities, among whom 26 were not evacuated.

    “There are 26 people who have not been evacuated, we have found 14 of them, three were found alive and 11 were found dead,” said Abdul Malik, head of the Padang Search and Rescue Agency.

    Video footage of Sunday’s eruption showed a huge cloud of volcanic ash spread across the sky and cars and roads covered with debris. A minor eruption on Monday forced rescue workers to suspend their operations.

    Indonesia sits on the Pacific’s so-called “Ring of Fire” and has 127 active volcanoes, according to the country’s volcanology agency, including the 2,891-metre (about 9,500 ft) Mount Marapi.

    Mount Marapi, which is currently on the second alert level of Indonesia’s four-step warning scale, is among the most active volcanoes on Sumatra.

    The volcano’s deadliest known eruption, in 1979, killed 60 people.



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  • Underwater volcanic eruption creates new island off Japan, but it

    Underwater volcanic eruption creates new island off Japan, but it


    An undersea volcano erupted off Japan three weeks ago, providing a rare view of the birth of a tiny new island, but one expert said it “may not last very long” if volcanic activity stops.

    The unnamed undersea volcano, located about half a mile off the southern coast of Iwo Jima, which Japan calls Ioto, started its latest series of eruptions on Oct. 21.

    Within 10 days, volcanic ash and rocks piled up on the shallow seabed, its tip rising above the sea surface. By early November, it became a new island about 328 feet in diameter and as high as 66 feet above the sea, according to Yuji Usui, an analyst in the Japan Meteorological Agency’s volcanic division.

    Volcanic activity has increased near Iwo Jima and similar undersea eruptions have occurred in recent years, but the formation of a new island is a significant development, Usui said.

    Japan New Island
    In this photo provided by the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force, steam billows from the waters off Ioto island, Ogasawara town in the Pacific Ocean, southern Tokyo, on Nov. 1, 2023. 

    / AP


    According to the Japan Times, Iwo Jima is an active volcano about 40 miles north of the Fukutoku-Okanoba underwater volcano, which had a major undersea eruption in 2021.

    Volcanic activity at the site has since subsided, and the newly formed island has somewhat shrunk because its “crumbly” formation is easily washed away by waves, Usui said.

    He said experts are still analyzing the development, including details of the deposits. The new island could survive longer if it is made of lava or something more durable than volcanic rocks such as pumice.

    “We just have to see the development,” he said. “But the island may not last very long.”

    Setsuya Nakada, a professor emeritus of volcanology at the University of Tokyo, told the Japan Times that he flew over the new island on Friday.

    “In an earlier stage, a vertical jet of black color, debris — which is a solidified magma — and water gushed upward,” Nakada said. “Since Nov. 3, the eruption started changing and the emission of volcanic ash continued explosively.”

    New island in Japan is not the first

    Undersea volcanoes and seismic activities have formed new islands in the past.

    In 2013, an eruption at Nishinoshima in the Pacific Ocean south of Tokyo led to the formation of a new island, which kept growing during a decadelong eruption of the volcano.

    Also in 2013, a small island surfaced from the seabed after a massive 7.7-magnitude earthquake in Pakistan. In 2015, a new island was formed as a result of a monthlong eruption of a submarine volcano off the coast of Tonga.

    Similar islands formed off Japan in 1904, 1914 and 1986 but later vanished after volcanic activity stopped, Forbes reported.

    Of about 1,500 active volcanoes in the world, 111 are in Japan, which sits on the so-called Pacific “Ring of Fire,” according to the Japan Meteorological Agency.

    Iwo Jima was the site of some of the fiercest fighting of World War II, and the photograph taken by AP photographer Joe Rosenthal of a flag-raising atop the island’s Mount Suribachi on Feb. 23, 1945, came to symbolize the Pacific War and the valor of the U.S. Marines.

    The classic photo is the only photo ever to win the Pulitzer Prize the same year it was taken. Rosenthal denied charges it was “staged” until his death in 2006. The photo was used as the basis for the Marine Corps War Memorial in Washington, D.C., completed in 1954.

    ap4502230115.jpg
    U.S. Marines of the 28th Regiment, 5th Division, raise the American flag atop Mt. Suribachi, Iwo Jima, on Feb. 23, 1945. Strategically located only 660 miles from Tokyo, the Pacific island became the site of one of the bloodiest, most famous battles of World War II against Japan. 

    AP Photo/Joe Rosenthal




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  • A “supervolcano” in Italy last erupted in 1538. Experts warn it’s “nearly to the breaking point” again.

    A “supervolcano” in Italy last erupted in 1538. Experts warn it’s “nearly to the breaking point” again.


    A long-dormant “supervolcano” in southern Italy is inching closer to a possible eruption — nearly six centuries after it last erupted, according to European researchers. 

    The Campi Flegrei volcano, which is located near the city of Naples, has become weaker over time and as a result is more prone to rupturing, according to a peer-reviewed study conducted by researchers from England’s University College London and Italy’s National Research Institute for Geophysics and Volcanology. 

    The study used a model of volcano fracturing to interpret the patterns of earthquakes and ground uplift. There have been tens of thousands of earthquakes around the volcano, and the town of Pozzuoli, which rests on top of Campi Flegrei, has been lifted by about 13 feet as a result of them. The quakes and rising earth have stretched parts of the volcano “nearly to the breaking point,” according to a news release about the study, and the ground seems to be breaking, rather than bending. 

    View the Pozzuoli city seafront in the colors of the sunset
    A view of the Pozzuoli city seafront and Campi Flegrei.

    Salvatore Laporta/KONTROLAB/LightRocket via Getty Images


    The earthquakes are caused by the movement of fluids beneath the surface, the news release said. It’s not clear what those fluids are, but researchers said they may be molten rock, magma or natural volcanic gas. 

    The earthquakes have taken place during the volcano’s active periods. While it last erupted in 1538, it has been “restless” for decades, with spikes of unrest occurring in the 1950s, 1970s and 1980s. There has been “a slower phase of unrest” in the past 10 years, researchers said, but 600 earthquakes were recorded in April, setting a new monthly record. 

    According to LiveScience, Campi Flegrei is often referred to as a “supervolcano,” which can produce eruptions reaching a category 8 — the highest level on the Volcano Explosivity Index. However, Campi Flegrei’s biggest-ever eruption technically ranked as a category 7, which is still considered a very large and disastrous eruption, LiveScience reported.   

    While Campi Flegrei — which means “burning fields” — may be closer to rupture, there is no guarantee that this will actually result in an eruption, the study concluded. 

    “The rupture may open a crack through the crust, but the magma still needs to be pushing up at the right location for an eruption to occur,” said Professor Christopher Kilburn, who studies earth sciences at University College London and was the lead author of the study. 

    Solfatara di Pozzuoli, is one of the forty craters of Campi
    Solfatara di Pozzuoli, one of the forty craters of Campi Flegrei.

    Vincenzo Izzo/LightRocket via Getty Images


    Kilburn said that this is the first time the model has been applied to a volcano in real-time. Since first using the model in 2017, the volcano has behaved as predicted, Kilburn said, so researchers plan to expand the use of the model to look at other volcanoes that reawakened after long periods of dormancy. The goal is to establish more reliable criteria to decide if an eruption is likely and establish a model that can be applied to multiple volcanoes. 

    “The study is the first of its kind to forecast rupture at an active volcano. It marks a step change in our goal to improve forecasts of eruptions worldwide,” Kilburn said.

    Satellite view of Campi Flegrei
    Satellite image of Campi Flegrei also known as the Phlegrean Fields, a supervolcano located mostly under the Gulf of Pozzuoli west of Naples on December 09, 2016 in Campi Flegrei, Italy.

    / Getty Images




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